Polonia Warszaw vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 30 Stadion Polonii· Warsaw Saturday, April 25, 2026 17:30

Polonia Warszaw PPG 1.29

1-0 HIT CS3

Chrobry Glogow PPG 1.71

Away· +58.1% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Polonia Warszaw face Chrobry Glogow in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polonia Warszaw a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Chrobry Glogow 42%, so Chrobry Glogow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Polonia Warszaw and 1.3 for Chrobry Glogow (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polonia Warszaw are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.71 for Chrobry Glogow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +58.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.5%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -42.4%

Draw 26.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -11.2%

Away 41.6%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +58.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.2% Odds: 1.67 -16.2%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Polonia Warszaw

1.14

Chrobry Glogow

1.35

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+58.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.29) vs Away GOOD (1.71)