Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Match Preview & Prediction

Heerenveen face Fortuna Sittard in Netherlands - Eredivisie on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Heerenveen a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Fortuna Sittard 20%, so Heerenveen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Heerenveen and 1.5 for Fortuna Sittard (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Heerenveen are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.93 for Fortuna Sittard. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +32.0%. This match finished 2-1.