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Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moscow Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:30

Rubin Kazan

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

CSKA Moscow

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-111.5%0-24.6%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.3%1-113.1%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-17.5%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% 34.7% 2.88 +25.0%

Draw 30.8% 29.9% 3.34 +2.9%

Away win 25.8% 38.8% 2.58 -33.4%

Over 2.5 30.7% 43.1% 2.32 -28.8%

Over 3.5 13.2% 23.1% 4.33 -42.8%

BTTS 37.5% 52.1% 1.92 -28.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -15.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob37.5%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.3%

#2 0–0✓ 14.4%

#3 1–1 13.1%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rubin Kazan1.1

CSKA Moscow0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RUBIN KAZAN · PPG 1.92

CSKA MOSCOW · PPG 1.15

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

43%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.92) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Rubin Kazan (H) 43.4%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +25.0%

Draw 30.8%

ODDS 3.34 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +2.9%

CSKA Moscow (A) 25.8%

ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV -33.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rubin Kazan face CSKA Moscow in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rubin Kazan a 43% chance, the draw 31% and CSKA Moscow 26%, so Rubin Kazan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rubin Kazan and 0.8 for CSKA Moscow (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rubin Kazan are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.15 for CSKA Moscow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.0%. This match finished 0-0.

Rubin Kazan vs CSKA Moscow Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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