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Lausanne Sport vs FC Zurich Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Relegation Group - 34 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

Lausanne Sport

PPG 1.25 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FC Zurich

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.4%0-23.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.1%1-19.0%1-26.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.2%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.2%3-16.2%3-24.6%3-32.2%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-15.0%4+-23.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 55.6% 1.80 -8.9%

Draw 21.4% 24.4% 4.10 -12.3%

Away win 27.9% 27.4% 3.65 +1.8%

Over 2.5 68.0% 67.6% 1.48 +0.6%

Over 3.5 46.4% 46.5% 2.15 -0.2%

BTTS 66.9% 69.0% 1.45 -3.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob66.9%

H 51% / xG 2.0-1.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 1–1 9.0%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 1–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lausanne Sport2.0

FC Zurich1.5

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%

Form & verdict PPG

LAUSANNE SPORT · PPG 1.25

FC ZURICH · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Lausanne Sport (H) 50.6%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -8.9%

Draw 21.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -12.3%

FC Zurich (A) 27.9%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +1.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lausanne Sport face FC Zurich in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lausanne Sport a 51% chance, the draw 21% and FC Zurich 28%, so Lausanne Sport are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lausanne Sport and 1.5 for FC Zurich (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lausanne Sport are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.94 for FC Zurich. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.8%. This match finished 3-0.

Lausanne Sport vs FC Zurich Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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