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Komarno vs Skalica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

Komarno

PPG 0.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWLW

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Skalica

PPG 0.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-19.5%0-24.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-112.8%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.6%2-18.6%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.3%3-13.9%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.8%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% 52.9% 1.89 -10.8%

Draw 27.8% 29.9% 3.35 -6.9%

Away win 25.0% 26.3% 3.80 -5.0%

Over 2.5 39.1% 47.6% 2.10 -17.9%

Over 3.5 19.1% 26.0% 3.85 -26.5%

BTTS 44.0% 54.1% 1.85 -18.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob44.0%

H 47% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.2%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 0–0 10.5%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Komarno1.4

Skalica0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.1% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KOMARNO · PPG 0.93

SKALICA · PPG 0.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

47%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.93) > Away POOR (0.36)

Win probability 1X2

Komarno (H) 47.2%

ODDS 1.89 · IMPLIED 52.9% EV -10.8%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.9%

Skalica (A) 25.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Komarno face Skalica in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Komarno a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Skalica 25%, so Komarno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Komarno and 0.9 for Skalica (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Komarno are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 0.36 for Skalica. This match finished 0-2.

Komarno vs Skalica Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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