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FC Kosice vs Ruzomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 7 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 16:00

FC Kosice

PPG 1.64 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLWL

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Ruzomberok

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDWL

// Model verdict

Home 57% chance

Model probability 61.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.9% — a clear edge.

+12.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.4%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.9%1-19.3%1-24.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.7%3-17.0%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-16.1%4+-23.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.9% 54.9% 1.82 +12.7%

Draw 20.2% 27.0% 3.70 -25.3%

Away win 17.9% 27.0% 3.70 -33.8%

Over 2.5 61.4% 55.6% 1.80 +10.5%

Over 3.5 39.1% 33.3% 3.00 +17.3%

BTTS 57.2% 58.8% 1.70 -2.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.2%

H 62% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.9%

#2 2–0 9.4%

#3 1–1 9.3%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 3–1✓ 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Kosice2.1

Ruzomberok1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 39.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FC KOSICE · PPG 1.64

RUZOMBEROK · PPG 1.07

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

57%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.64) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

FC Kosice (H) 61.9%

ODDS 1.82 · IMPLIED 54.9% EV +12.7%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -25.3%

Ruzomberok (A) 17.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -33.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Kosice face Ruzomberok in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Kosice a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Ruzomberok 18%, so FC Kosice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for FC Kosice and 1.1 for Ruzomberok (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Kosice are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.07 for Ruzomberok. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +17.3%. This match finished 3-1.

FC Kosice vs Ruzomberok Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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