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Wolfenbuttel vs Hildesheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen

Niedersachsen - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Wolfenbuttel logo
Wolfenbuttel
PPG 1.08 · HOME
6 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Hildesheim logo
Hildesheim
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.9%0-23.8%0-33.3%0-4+4.1%1 1-02.1%1-15.4%1-27.1%1-36.2%1-4+7.7%2 2-01.9%2-15.1%2-26.7%2-35.9%2-4+7.3%3 3-01.2%3-13.2%3-24.2%3-33.7%3-4+4.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.3%4+-23.1%4+-32.7%4+-4+3.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.5%
Draw 18.4%
Away win 54.1%
Over 2.5 82.9%
Over 3.5 66.1%
BTTS 78.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 72%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 6-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob78.8%

A 54% / xG 1.9-2.6 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 79%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.1%
#2 2–2 6.7%
#3 1–3 6.2%
#4 2–3 5.9%
#5 1–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wolfenbuttel1.9
Hildesheim2.6

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 82.9% · O3.5 PROB 66.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLFENBUTTEL · PPG 1.08

HILDESHEIM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.08) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wolfenbuttel (H) 27.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Hildesheim (A) 54.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wolfenbuttel face Hildesheim in Germany - Oberliga - Niedersachsen on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wolfenbuttel a 28% chance, the draw 18% and Hildesheim 54%, so Hildesheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Wolfenbuttel and 2.6 for Hildesheim (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wolfenbuttel are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.50 for Hildesheim. This match finished 6-2.

PredictVantage

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