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Hohenems vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 15:00

Hohenems

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Reichenau

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.1%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.1%1-19.0%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.4%3-17.1%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-16.5%4+-23.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.7% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 18.4% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 41.7% — — —

BTTS 59.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.4%

H 62% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.8%

#2 1–1 9.0%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hohenems2.2

Reichenau1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 41.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.67

REICHENAU · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=61.7%

Win probability 1X2

Hohenems (H) 61.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reichenau (A) 18.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hohenems face Reichenau in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hohenems a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Reichenau 18%, so Hohenems are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hohenems and 1.1 for Reichenau (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hohenems are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.83 for Reichenau. This match finished 0-1.

Hohenems vs Reichenau Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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