Feyenoord vs FC Groningen Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 31 De Kuip· Rotterdam Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:30

Feyenoord PPG 2.13

3-1 HIT CS5

FC Groningen PPG 1.33

Away· -4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Feyenoord face FC Groningen in Netherlands - Eredivisie on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feyenoord a 59% chance, the draw 21% and FC Groningen 21%, so Feyenoord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Feyenoord and 1.2 for FC Groningen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feyenoord are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.33 for FC Groningen. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.9%

Odds: 1.61 EV: -5.2%

Draw 20.5%

Odds: 4.30 EV: -11.8%

Away 20.6%

Odds: 4.65 EV: -4.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.7% Odds: 1.48 -4.2%

Over 3.5 42.7% Odds: 2.20 -6.1%

BTTS 61.5% Odds: 1.50 -7.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Feyenoord

2.14

FC Groningen

1.20

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -4.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.13) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)