Krylya Sovetov vs Lokomotiv M. Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Samara Arena· Samara Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Krylya Sovetov PPG 1.50

2-0 MISS

Lokomotiv M. PPG 1.69

Over3.5· +35.1% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Krylya Sovetov face Lokomotiv M. in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Krylya Sovetov a 28% chance, the draw 21% and Lokomotiv M. 51%, so Lokomotiv M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Krylya Sovetov and 2.0 for Lokomotiv M. (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Krylya Sovetov are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.69 for Lokomotiv M.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.0%

Odds: 4.05 EV: +13.4%

Draw 21.4%

Odds: 3.64 EV: -22.1%

Away 50.5%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -1.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.1% Odds: 1.83 +24.6%

Over 3.5 46.6% Odds: 2.90 +35.1%

BTTS 67.1% Odds: 1.67 +12.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Krylya Sovetov

1.48

Lokomotiv M.

2.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +24.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+35.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -39.8%

Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away GOOD (1.69)