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Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:30

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 1.92 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Chojniczanka

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 56.0% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.8%0-24.9%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.4%1-111.9%1-27.5%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.0%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.7%3-14.6%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.5% 40.8% 2.45 +6.6%

Draw 25.1% 30.3% 3.30 -17.2%

Away win 31.4% 41.7% 2.40 -24.6%

Over 2.5 52.7% 51.3% 1.95 +2.8%

Over 3.5 30.5% 29.4% 3.40 +3.7%

BTTS 56.0% 55.6% 1.80 +0.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob56.0%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.9%

#2 1–0 9.4%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 0–1 7.8%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hutnik Krakow1.5

Chojniczanka1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 1.92

CHOJNICZANKA · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.92), Away GOOD (1.64)

Win probability 1X2

Hutnik Krakow (H) 43.5%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +6.6%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -17.2%

Chojniczanka (A) 31.4%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -24.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hutnik Krakow face Chojniczanka in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hutnik Krakow a 44% chance, the draw 25% and Chojniczanka 31%, so Hutnik Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hutnik Krakow and 1.3 for Chojniczanka (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hutnik Krakow are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.64 for Chojniczanka. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Hutnik Krakow vs Chojniczanka Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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