Adana Demirspor vs Umraniyespor Prediction— Turkey - 1. Lig

Turkey - 1. Lig Regular Season - 37 Yeni Adana Stadyumu· Adana Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00

Adana Demirspor PPG 0.28

1-3 HIT CS4

Umraniyespor PPG 0.83

Home· +53.7% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Adana Demirspor face Umraniyespor in Turkey - 1. Lig on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adana Demirspor a 5% chance, the draw 11% and Umraniyespor 84%, so Umraniyespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Adana Demirspor and 3.1 for Umraniyespor (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adana Demirspor are averaging 0.28 points per game versus 0.83 for Umraniyespor. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +53.7%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 5.3%

Odds: 29.00 EV: +53.7%

Draw 10.5%

Odds: 9.40 EV: -1.3%

Away 84.2%

Odds: 1.04 EV: -12.4%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 72.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 51.7% Odds: 1.36 -29.7%

BTTS 47.3% Odds: 2.10 -0.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-4 ✘

4th 1-3 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Adana Demirspor

0.69

Umraniyespor

3.07

Model SuggestionAway -12.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 52%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -82.8%

Bet Hit 17% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: POOR form (0.83) vs Home POOR (0.28)