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R. Altach B vs TSV St. Johann Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 13:00

R. Altach B

PPG 0.75 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

TSV St. Johann

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.0%0-25.2%0-33.6%0-4+3.1%1 1-04.0%1-18.3%1-28.6%1-36.0%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.3%2-16.8%2-27.1%2-34.9%2-4+4.1%3 3-01.8%3-13.7%3-23.9%3-32.7%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.3%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.7% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 48.2% — — —

Over 2.5 71.8% — — —

Over 3.5 51.1% — — —

BTTS 70.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob70.6%

A 48% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.6%

#2 1–1 8.3%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Altach B1.6

TSV St. Johann2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.8% · O3.5 PROB 51.1%

Form & verdict PPG

R. ALTACH B · PPG 0.75

TSV ST. JOHANN · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

R. Altach B (H) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TSV St. Johann (A) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Altach B face TSV St. Johann in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Altach B a 31% chance, the draw 21% and TSV St. Johann 48%, so TSV St. Johann are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for R. Altach B and 2.1 for TSV St. Johann (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Altach B are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.50 for TSV St. Johann. This match finished 0-1.

R. Altach B vs TSV St. Johann Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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