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Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Matchday 7 ·Monday, September 7, 2026, 17:00

Ruch Chorzów

PPG 1.65 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWWL

UPCOMING

Unia Skierniewice

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLWL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-19.6%0-24.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.6%1-112.9%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-18.7%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-13.9%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.8% 58.8% 1.70 -23.8%

Draw 27.8% 28.6% 3.50 -1.6%

Away win 27.4% 25.0% 4.00 +5.8%

Over 2.5 46.4% 57.8% 1.73 -19.7%

Over 3.5 26.5% 36.4% 2.75 -16.3%

BTTS 49.9% 59.9% 1.67 -16.7%

Home O1.5 39.2% 57.8% 1.73 -32.2%

Away O1.5 31.7% 30.8% 3.25 +3.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 71 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -10.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.9%

H 45% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.6%

#3 0–0 9.4%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ruch Chorzów1.3

Unia Skierniewice1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RUCH CHORZÓW · PPG 1.65

UNIA SKIERNIEWICE · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ruch Chorzów (H) 44.8%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -23.8%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -1.6%

Unia Skierniewice (A) 27.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +5.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruch Chorzów face Unia Skierniewice in Poland - I Liga on Monday, September 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruch Chorzów a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Unia Skierniewice 27%, so Ruch Chorzów are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ruch Chorzów and 1.0 for Unia Skierniewice (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruch Chorzów are averaging 1.65 points per game versus 1.50 for Unia Skierniewice. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Ruch Chorzów vs Unia Skierniewice Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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