Today / Spain - Primera División Femenina / Granad. Tenerife W vs Deportivo de La Coruña W

Granad. Tenerife W vs Deportivo de La Coruña W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 10:45

Granad. Tenerife W

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

UPCOMING

Deportivo de La Coruña W

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 51% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.5%0-24.8%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.2%1-111.7%1-27.5%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-19.1%2-25.8%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.7%3-14.7%3-23.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.6%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.7% 64.5% 1.55 -40.0%

Draw 26.1% 25.6% 3.90 +1.1%

Away win 35.2% 21.1% 4.75 +67.2%

Over 2.5 51.7% 55.6% 1.80 -6.9%

Over 3.5 31.6% 33.3% 3.00 -5.2%

BTTS 52.9% 50.0% 2.00 +5.8%

Home O1.5 45.5% 59.2% 1.69 -23.1%

Away O1.5 37.7% 32.9% 3.04 +14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.9%

H 39% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–2 7.5%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 0–0 5.9%

#5 0–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Granad. Tenerife W1.6

Deportivo de La Coruña W1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GRANAD. TENERIFE W · PPG 1.70

DEPORTIVO DE LA CORUÑA W · PPG 1.09

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

51%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Granad. Tenerife W (H) 38.7%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -40.0%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +1.1%

Deportivo de La Coruña W (A) 35.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +67.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Granad. Tenerife W face Deportivo de La Coruña W in Spain - Primera División Femenina on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Granad. Tenerife W a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Deportivo de La Coruña W 35%, so Granad. Tenerife W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Granad. Tenerife W and 1.3 for Deportivo de La Coruña W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Granad. Tenerife W are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.09 for Deportivo de La Coruña W. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +68.4%.

Granad. Tenerife W vs Deportivo de La Coruña W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

More Spain - Primera División Femenina Predictions