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Espanyol W vs FC Levante Badalona W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 10:00

Espanyol W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

L ····

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

FC Levante Badalona W

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

L ····

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-18.3%0-25.4%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.2%1-112.0%1-27.8%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.7%2-25.7%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.2%3-14.2%3-22.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.8% 33.3% 3.00 +22.4%

Draw 28.6% 34.7% 2.88 -10.6%

Away win 30.6% 44.4% 2.25 -31.1%

Over 2.5 50.6% 45.7% 2.19 +10.8%

Over 3.5 31.6% 24.4% 4.10 +29.6%

BTTS 52.9% 54.1% 1.85 -2.1%

Home O1.5 39.9% 32.3% 3.10 +23.7%

Away O1.5 40.0% 40.8% 2.45 -2.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.9%

H 41% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Espanyol W1.5

FC Levante Badalona W1.3

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ESPANYOL W · PPG 1.17

FC LEVANTE BADALONA W · PPG 1.27

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

54%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.15 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Espanyol W (H) 40.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +22.4%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -10.6%

FC Levante Badalona W (A) 30.6%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -31.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Espanyol W face FC Levante Badalona W in Spain - Primera División Femenina on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Espanyol W a 41% chance, the draw 29% and FC Levante Badalona W 31%, so Espanyol W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Espanyol W and 1.3 for FC Levante Badalona W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Espanyol W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.27 for FC Levante Badalona W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +29.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Espanyol W vs FC Levante Badalona W Prediction— Spain - Primera División Femenina

Match Preview & Prediction

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