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Budejovice U19 vs Slovacko U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:00

Budejovice U19 logo
Budejovice U19
PPG 1.36 · HOME
5 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Slovacko U19 logo
Slovacko U19
PPG 1.18 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.5%0-25.4%0-33.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.6%1-18.9%1-28.7%1-35.6%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.0%2-34.6%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.9%3-23.8%3-32.5%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.3%4+-22.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.4% 44.4% 2.25 -27.1%
Draw 21.8% 27.8% 3.60 -21.5%
Away win 45.8% 40.0% 2.50 +14.5%
Over 2.5 69.2%
Over 3.5 47.8% 52.6% 1.90 -9.2%
BTTS 68.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 16.3%
Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-2
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob68.8%

A 46% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%
#2 1–2 8.7%
#3 2–1 7.2%
#4 2–2 7.0%
#5 1–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Budejovice U191.6
Slovacko U191.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.2% · O3.5 PROB 47.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BUDEJOVICE U19 · PPG 1.36

SLOVACKO U19 · PPG 1.18

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.18)

Win probability 1X2

Budejovice U19 (H) 32.4%
ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -27.1%
Draw 21.8%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -21.5%
Slovacko U19 (A) 45.8%
ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Budejovice U19 face Slovacko U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Budejovice U19 a 32% chance, the draw 22% and Slovacko U19 46%, so Slovacko U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Budejovice U19 and 1.9 for Slovacko U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Budejovice U19 are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.18 for Slovacko U19. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.5%. This match finished 5-2.

PredictVantage

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