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Al Wasl U23 vs Ittihad Kalba U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Al Wasl U23

PPG 1.42 · HOME

LAST 5

LDD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ittihad Kalba U23

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-14.0%0-23.3%0-31.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-05.1%1-18.3%1-26.8%1-33.7%1-4+2.2%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-27.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.7%3-16.0%3-24.9%3-32.6%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.0%4+-24.1%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 54.1% 1.85 -14.3%

Draw 24.0% 26.3% 3.80 -5.3%

Away win 29.7% 31.3% 3.20 -3.0%

Over 2.5 63.1% 66.7% 1.50 -5.3%

Over 3.5 42.5% 45.5% 2.20 -6.5%

BTTS 61.3% 69.4% 1.44 -11.7%

Home O1.5 59.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.3%

H 46% / xG 2.1-1.6 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 8.3%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wasl U232.1

Ittihad Kalba U231.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WASL U23 · PPG 1.42

ITTIHAD KALBA U23 · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.45 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Wasl U23 (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -14.3%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.3%

Ittihad Kalba U23 (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wasl U23 face Ittihad Kalba U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wasl U23 a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Ittihad Kalba U23 30%, so Al Wasl U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Al Wasl U23 and 1.6 for Ittihad Kalba U23 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wasl U23 are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.17 for Ittihad Kalba U23. This match finished 1-1.

Al Wasl U23 vs Ittihad Kalba U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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