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Al Wahda U23 vs Al Nasr U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Al Wahda U23

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Nasr U23

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.5%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.8%1-110.2%1-26.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.5%2-26.2%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-04.5%3-15.9%3-23.9%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.2%4+-22.7%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 51.3% 1.95 -8.6%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 28.8% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Over 2.5 56.4% 63.7% 1.57 -11.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 42.2% 2.37 -13.3%

BTTS 54.7% 69.0% 1.45 -20.7%

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 40.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.7%

H 47% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–2 6.7%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wahda U231.9

Al Nasr U231.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WAHDA U23 · PPG 1.17

AL NASR U23 · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Wahda U23 (H) 46.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -8.6%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Al Nasr U23 (A) 28.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wahda U23 face Al Nasr U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wahda U23 a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Al Nasr U23 29%, so Al Wahda U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Al Wahda U23 and 1.3 for Al Nasr U23 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wahda U23 are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.69 for Al Nasr U23. This match finished 3-1.

Al Wahda U23 vs Al Nasr U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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