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Huracán Res. vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Thursday, September 3, 2026, 18:00

Huracán Res.

PPG 1.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Córdoba SdE Res.

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 53.5% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-16.6%0-22.2%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-016.1%1-110.9%1-23.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.3%2-19.0%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.3%3-14.9%3-21.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-12.9%4+-21.0%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% 55.6% 1.80 -3.7%

Draw 24.7% 32.3% 3.10 -14.1%

Away win 21.8% 25.0% 4.00 -7.7%

Over 2.5 45.5% 40.0% 2.50 +13.8%

Over 3.5 26.1% 29.2% 3.42 -6.4%

BTTS 48.0% 54.1% 1.85 -11.2%

Home O1.5 48.1% 51.3% 1.95 -6.2%

Away O1.5 18.8% 26.7% 3.75 -17.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 104 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -10.9%

Bet Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 54% / xG 1.6-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.1%

#2 2–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 10.9%

#4 0–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huracán Res.1.6

Central Córdoba SdE Res.0.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

HURACÁN RES. · PPG 1.58

CENTRAL CÓRDOBA SDE RES. · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Huracán Res. (H) 53.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -3.7%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.1%

Central Córdoba SdE Res. (A) 21.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -7.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huracán Res. face Central Córdoba SdE Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Thursday, September 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huracán Res. a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Central Córdoba SdE Res. 22%, so Huracán Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Huracán Res. and 0.7 for Central Córdoba SdE Res. (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huracán Res. are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.75 for Central Córdoba SdE Res.. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.8%.

Huracán Res. vs Central Córdoba SdE Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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