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Aldosivi Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 18:00

Aldosivi Res.

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LDWDD

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Racing Club Res.

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDLD

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-110.7%0-27.1%0-33.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.6%1-112.8%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.7%2-17.6%2-25.0%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.3%3-13.0%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 33.3% 3.00 +13.1%

Draw 26.4% 31.3% 3.20 -9.3%

Away win 35.9% 46.5% 2.15 -22.8%

Over 2.5 50.6% 45.5% 2.20 +11.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 33.0% — — —

Away O1.5 42.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -7.0%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.9%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 1–0 9.6%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Aldosivi Res.1.2

Racing Club Res.1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ALDOSIVI RES. · PPG 1.45

RACING CLUB RES. · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.13 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Aldosivi Res. (H) 37.7%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +13.1%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.3%

Racing Club Res. (A) 35.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Aldosivi Res. face Racing Club Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aldosivi Res. a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Racing Club Res. 36%, so Aldosivi Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Aldosivi Res. and 1.3 for Racing Club Res. (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aldosivi Res. are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.73 for Racing Club Res.. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Aldosivi Res. vs Racing Club Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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