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Godoy Cruz Res. vs Tigre Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Clausura · Matchday 7 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 18:00

Godoy Cruz Res.

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tigre Res.

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-18.7%0-24.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.1%1-112.6%1-26.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.0%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.5%3-14.3%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 45.5% 2.20 -1.2%

Draw 26.1% 31.3% 3.20 -9.9%

Away win 29.0% 34.5% 2.90 -9.5%

Over 2.5 50.4% 47.6% 2.10 +5.8%

Over 3.5 28.7% 25.8% 3.88 +6.8%

BTTS 52.9% 54.6% 1.83 -3.2%

Home O1.5 39.9% 39.4% 2.54 +1.4%

Away O1.5 26.1% 35.2% 2.84 -15.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 98 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -7.0%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.9%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 0–0 9.1%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Godoy Cruz Res.1.4

Tigre Res.1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GODOY CRUZ RES. · PPG 1.33

TIGRE RES. · PPG 0.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.48, combined xG 2.40 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Godoy Cruz Res. (H) 44.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.2%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.9%

Tigre Res. (A) 29.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Godoy Cruz Res. face Tigre Res. in Argentina - Reserve League on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Godoy Cruz Res. a 45% chance, the draw 26% and Tigre Res. 29%, so Godoy Cruz Res. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Godoy Cruz Res. and 1.0 for Tigre Res. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Godoy Cruz Res. are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.73 for Tigre Res.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.8%.

Godoy Cruz Res. vs Tigre Res. Prediction— Argentina - Reserve League

Match Preview & Prediction

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