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Zlín II vs Uherský Brod Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 17 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 15:00

Zlín II

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDD

UPCOMING

Uherský Brod

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-17.5%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.7%1-111.8%1-27.2%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-19.2%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.0%3-14.8%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 51.3% 1.95 -12.3%

Draw 25.1% 27.0% 3.70 -4.3%

Away win 29.9% 33.3% 3.00 -6.2%

Over 2.5 53.8% 58.8% 1.70 -8.5%

Over 3.5 31.6% 40.2% 2.49 -21.3%

BTTS 54.6% 65.4% 1.53 -16.5%

Home O1.5 46.3% 53.8% 1.86 -13.9%

Away O1.5 36.8% 43.1% 2.32 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–0 9.7%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 1–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zlín II1.6

Uherský Brod1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ZLÍN II · PPG 1.82

UHERSKÝ BROD · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.35 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Zlín II (H) 45.0%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -12.3%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.3%

Uherský Brod (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlín II face Uherský Brod in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlín II a 45% chance, the draw 25% and Uherský Brod 30%, so Zlín II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Zlín II and 1.2 for Uherský Brod (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlín II are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.07 for Uherský Brod.

Zlín II vs Uherský Brod Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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