Today / Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL / Polanka nad Odrou vs Hranice

Polanka nad Odrou vs Hranice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:30

Polanka nad Odrou

PPG 0.82 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Hranice

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-111.1%0-27.0%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.3%1-113.0%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.0%2-17.6%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.3%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% 34.5% 2.90 -7.8%

Draw 26.4% 32.3% 3.10 -10.9%

Away win 41.8% 47.6% 2.10 -12.2%

Over 2.5 50.5% 57.1% 1.75 -11.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.5% 2.74 -12.8%

BTTS 52.7% 61.7% 1.62 -14.6%

Home O1.5 31.7% 40.8% 2.45 -22.3%

Away O1.5 36.6% 50.8% 1.97 -27.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.7%

A 42% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–1✓ 11.1%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 0–0 8.8%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Polanka nad Odrou1.2

Hranice1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

POLANKA NAD ODROU · PPG 0.82

HRANICE · PPG 0.84

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.09, combined xG 2.43 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Polanka nad Odrou (H) 31.8%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -7.8%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.9%

Hranice (A) 41.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Polanka nad Odrou face Hranice in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Polanka nad Odrou a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Hranice 42%, so Hranice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Polanka nad Odrou and 1.3 for Hranice (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Polanka nad Odrou are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.84 for Hranice. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 0-1.

Polanka nad Odrou vs Hranice Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL Predictions