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Uničov vs Unie Hlubina Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

MSFL · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:15

Uničov

PPG 1.68 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Unie Hlubina

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.2%0-24.0%0-32.5%0-4+1.9%1 1-04.2%1-18.0%1-27.6%1-34.9%1-4+3.6%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.3%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-02.6%3-14.9%3-24.6%3-33.0%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.6%4+-23.4%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 62.5% 1.60 -35.7%

Draw 22.1% 26.0% 3.85 -8.9%

Away win 37.7% 23.8% 4.20 +58.3%

Over 2.5 68.2% 65.4% 1.53 +4.3%

Over 3.5 47.9% 44.4% 2.25 +7.8%

BTTS 63.1% 66.7% 1.50 -5.3%

Home O1.5 56.3% 65.8% 1.52 -14.4%

Away O1.5 56.9% 35.7% 2.80 +59.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 35.9%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.1%

H 40% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Uničov1.9

Unie Hlubina1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

UNIČOV · PPG 1.68

UNIE HLUBINA · PPG 1.86

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.00 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Uničov (H) 40.2%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -35.7%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -8.9%

Unie Hlubina (A) 37.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +58.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Uničov face Unie Hlubina in Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Uničov a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Unie Hlubina 38%, so Uničov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Uničov and 1.9 for Unie Hlubina (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Uničov are averaging 1.68 points per game versus 1.86 for Unie Hlubina. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +90.6%. This match finished 3-0.

Uničov vs Unie Hlubina Prediction— Czech-Republic - 3. liga - MSFL

Match Preview & Prediction

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