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Wigan Athletic U21 vs Cardiff City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Regular Season ·Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 12:00

Wigan Athletic U21

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DLD ··

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Cardiff City U21

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.8%0-23.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.2%1-18.2%1-26.4%1-33.4%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-04.0%3-16.3%3-25.0%3-32.6%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-15.6%4+-24.4%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.0% 55.6% 1.80 -15.4%

Draw 23.8% 25.3% 3.95 -3.6%

Away win 29.3% 29.4% 3.40 -0.2%

Over 2.5 62.2% 73.5% 1.36 -15.4%

Over 3.5 42.7% 51.8% 1.93 -17.6%

BTTS 60.8% 74.1% 1.35 -17.9%

Home O1.5 61.6% 67.6% 1.48 -8.8%

Away O1.5 47.9% 48.8% 2.05 -1.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 21%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob60.8%

H 47% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wigan Athletic U212.2

Cardiff City U211.6

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WIGAN ATHLETIC U21 · PPG 1.50

CARDIFF CITY U21 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wigan Athletic U21 (H) 47.0%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -15.4%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -3.6%

Cardiff City U21 (A) 29.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -0.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wigan Athletic U21 face Cardiff City U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, August 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wigan Athletic U21 a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Cardiff City U21 29%, so Wigan Athletic U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Wigan Athletic U21 and 1.6 for Cardiff City U21 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wigan Athletic U21 are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Cardiff City U21. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 2-5.

Wigan Athletic U21 vs Cardiff City U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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