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Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Matchday 1 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 10:30

Sigma Olomouc U19

PPG 1.26 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWLW

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sparta Praha U19

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.6%0-22.3%0-31.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.6%1-16.3%1-25.6%1-33.3%1-4+2.2%2 2-04.4%2-17.8%2-26.9%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.6%3-16.4%3-25.7%3-33.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-17.0%4+-26.2%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% — — —

Draw 19.7% — — —

Away win 29.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.6% — — —

Over 3.5 52.2% — — —

BTTS 69.3% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.3%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 5.6%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sigma Olomouc U192.5

Sparta Praha U191.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SIGMA OLOMOUC U19 · PPG 1.26

SPARTA PRAHA U19 · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.68 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sigma Olomouc U19 (H) 50.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sparta Praha U19 (A) 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sigma Olomouc U19 face Sparta Praha U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sigma Olomouc U19 a 51% chance, the draw 20% and Sparta Praha U19 30%, so Sigma Olomouc U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Sigma Olomouc U19 and 1.8 for Sparta Praha U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sigma Olomouc U19 are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 1.20 for Sparta Praha U19. This match finished 5-3.

Sigma Olomouc U19 vs Sparta Praha U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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