Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Ranheim II vs Orkla

Ranheim II vs Orkla Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:30

Ranheim II logo
Ranheim II
PPG 1.88 · HOME
LAST 5
LWLLD
3 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Orkla logo
Orkla
PPG 1.00 · AWAY
LAST 5
LLLLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.6%0-20.6%0-30.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-01.0%1-12.2%1-22.3%1-31.7%1-4+1.5%2 2-01.9%2-14.1%2-24.4%2-33.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-02.4%3-15.2%3-25.5%3-34.0%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-113.1%4+-214.1%4+-310.1%4+-4+8.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 58.5%
Draw 16.2%
Away win 25.3%
Over 2.5 83.0%
Over 3.5 70.3%
BTTS 72.7%
Home O1.5 78.3%
Away O1.5 58.6%

League track record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 56%
Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 4.4%
#2 3–2 5.5%
#3 4–2 5.2%
#4 3–1 5.2%
#5 3–3 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim II3.8
Orkla2.1

COMBINED 5.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 70.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM II · PPG 1.88

ORKLA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.64 for Home, form 1.88 vs 1.00 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim II (H) 58.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 16.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Orkla (A) 25.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim II face Orkla in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim II a 59% chance, the draw 16% and Orkla 25%, so Ranheim II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Ranheim II and 2.1 for Orkla (5.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim II are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Orkla. This match finished 3-3.

PredictVantage

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