Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Spjelkavik vs Molde II

Spjelkavik vs Molde II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Spjelkavik

PPG 1.12 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Molde II

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.9%0-21.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-02.8%1-15.1%1-24.7%1-32.9%1-4+2.0%2 2-03.8%2-17.1%2-26.5%2-34.0%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.5%3-16.5%3-26.0%3-33.7%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-18.7%4+-28.0%4+-34.9%4+-4+3.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% — — —

Draw 19.0% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 77.4% — — —

Over 3.5 56.6% — — —

BTTS 69.7% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 57.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.1%

#2 2–2 6.5%

#3 3–1✓ 6.5%

#4 1–1 5.1%

#5 1–2 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spjelkavik2.7

Molde II1.8

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.4% · O3.5 PROB 56.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SPJELKAVIK · PPG 1.12

MOLDE II · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Spjelkavik (H) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molde II (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spjelkavik face Molde II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spjelkavik a 52% chance, the draw 19% and Molde II 29%, so Spjelkavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Spjelkavik and 1.8 for Molde II (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spjelkavik are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.88 for Molde II. This match finished 3-1.

Spjelkavik vs Molde II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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