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New England II vs Huntsville City Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 23:00

New England II logo
New England II
PPG 1.62 · HOME
LAST 5
WLLLL
1 – 4
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Huntsville City logo
Huntsville City
PPG 1.18 · AWAY
LAST 5
LDWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.4%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.1%1-19.3%1-25.3%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.5%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.0%3-17.0%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-16.0%4+-23.5%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 51.8% 58.8% 1.70 -11.9%
Draw 21.7% 28.6% 3.50 -14.4%
Away win 26.4% 25.0% 4.00 +3.4%
Over 2.5 63.1% 65.4% 1.53 -3.5%
Over 3.5 39.8% 42.7% 2.34 -6.9%
BTTS 60.8% 64.5% 1.55 -5.8%
Home O1.5 59.6% 62.9% 1.59 -5.2%
Away O1.5 33.0% 36.8% 2.72 -10.2%

League track record

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%
O2.5 77%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 24%
ROI 9.8%
Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-4
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.8%

H 52% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 1–2 5.3%
#4 2–0 8.5%
#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

New England II2.1
Huntsville City1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

NEW ENGLAND II · PPG 1.62

HUNTSVILLE CITY · PPG 1.18

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

New England II (H) 51.8%
ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -11.9%
Draw 21.7%
ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -14.4%
Huntsville City (A) 26.4%
ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

New England II face Huntsville City in USA - MLS Next Pro on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives New England II a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Huntsville City 26%, so New England II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for New England II and 1.1 for Huntsville City (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, New England II are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.18 for Huntsville City. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 1-4.

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