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Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 00:00

Colorado Rapids II

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LDDWL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ventura County

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-19.9%0-28.3%0-34.6%0-4+2.8%1 1-06.8%1-111.4%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.9%2-16.6%2-25.5%2-33.1%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.5%3-12.5%3-22.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.5% 47.6% 2.10 -22.8%

Draw 24.3% 30.3% 3.30 -11.9%

Away win 46.2% 35.7% 2.80 +29.4%

Over 2.5 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Over 3.5 36.7% 44.4% 2.25 -17.4%

BTTS 59.9% 69.4% 1.44 -13.7%

Home O1.5 31.2% 56.2% 1.78 -44.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 47.6% 2.10 +0.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.9%

A 46% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 8.3%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Rapids II1.2

Ventura County1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO RAPIDS II · PPG 1.00

VENTURA COUNTY · PPG 1.20

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.52 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Rapids II (H) 29.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -22.8%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -11.9%

Ventura County (A) 46.2%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV +29.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Rapids II face Ventura County in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Rapids II a 30% chance, the draw 24% and Ventura County 46%, so Ventura County are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Colorado Rapids II and 1.7 for Ventura County (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Rapids II are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Ventura County. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +22.1%. This match finished 2-3.

Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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