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Melhus vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:15

Melhus

PPG 2.14 · HOME

LAST 5

WDWWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Strindheim

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-12.5%0-21.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.5%1-16.5%1-24.7%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.2%3-17.5%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-19.2%4+-26.7%4+-33.2%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% — — —

Draw 20.1% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 71.4% — — —

Over 3.5 49.4% — — —

BTTS 63.1% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 40.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.5%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 1–2 4.7%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Melhus2.6

Strindheim1.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

MELHUS · PPG 2.14

STRINDHEIM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.19 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Melhus (H) 54.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strindheim (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Melhus face Strindheim in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Melhus a 55% chance, the draw 20% and Strindheim 25%, so Melhus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Melhus and 1.4 for Strindheim (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Melhus are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 1.50 for Strindheim. This match finished 0-1.

Melhus vs Strindheim Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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