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W. Innsbruck vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:30

W. Innsbruck

PPG 2.27 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Lauterach

PPG 0.58 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away POOR (0.58) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.4%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.5%1-11.6%1-20.4%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.7%2-13.5%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.1%3-15.1%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-040.0%4+-118.4%4+-24.2%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 95.5% — — —

Draw 3.4% — — —

Away win 1.1% — — —

Over 2.5 86.0% — — —

Over 3.5 70.9% — — —

BTTS 36.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 86%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob36.4%

H 96% / xG 4.4-0.5 / O2.5 86% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 12.1%

#2 3–0✓ 11.1%

#3 5–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 4–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

W. Innsbruck4.4

Lauterach0.5

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 86.0% · O3.5 PROB 70.9%

Form & verdict PPG

W. INNSBRUCK · PPG 2.27

LAUTERACH · PPG 0.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away POOR (0.58) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

W. Innsbruck (H) 95.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 3.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lauterach (A) 1.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

W. Innsbruck face Lauterach in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives W. Innsbruck a 96% chance, the draw 3% and Lauterach 1%, so W. Innsbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for W. Innsbruck and 0.5 for Lauterach (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 86% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, W. Innsbruck are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.58 for Lauterach. This match finished 3-0.

W. Innsbruck vs Lauterach Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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