Today / FaroeIslands - Premier League / Skála vs 07 Vestur

Skála vs 07 Vestur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:15

Skála logo
Skála
PPG 1.40 · HOME
LAST 5
LLWWD
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
07 Vestur logo
07 Vestur
PPG 0.80 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.1% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-18.9%0-23.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.4%1-112.6%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.1%2-18.9%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.8%3-14.2%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.3% 52.4% 1.91 -11.6%
Draw 26.8% 27.8% 3.60 -2.1%
Away win 26.8% 30.3% 3.30 -6.9%
Over 2.5 50.5% 58.8% 1.70 -14.1%
Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%
BTTS 52.1% 62.5% 1.60 -16.6%
Home O1.5 40.1% 55.6% 1.80 -27.8%
Away O1.5 25.3% 38.5% 2.60 -20.5%

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5 54%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.1%

H 46% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%
#2 1–0 14.4%
#3 0–0 10.2%
#4 2–0 10.1%
#5 0–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skála1.4
07 Vestur0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKÁLA · PPG 1.40

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.54 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Skála (H) 46.3%
ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -11.6%
Draw 26.8%
ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.1%
07 Vestur (A) 26.8%
ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skála face 07 Vestur in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skála a 46% chance, the draw 27% and 07 Vestur 27%, so Skála are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Skála and 0.9 for 07 Vestur (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skála are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.80 for 07 Vestur. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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