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EB / Streymur vs AB Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

EB / Streymur

PPG 0.70 · HOME

LAST 5

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2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

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// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-18.6%0-25.5%0-32.3%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.6%1-112.2%1-27.8%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.8%2-18.7%2-25.5%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.3% 43.5% 2.30 -7.3%

Draw 24.6% 29.4% 3.40 -9.8%

Away win 35.1% 40.8% 2.45 -14.0%

Over 2.5 59.7% 60.6% 1.65 -1.5%

Over 3.5 36.6% 39.7% 2.52 -7.8%

BTTS 60.3% 66.7% 1.50 -9.6%

Home O1.5 40.0% 49.0% 2.04 -18.4%

Away O1.5 37.3% 47.8% 2.09 -22.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.3%

H 40% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 7.8%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

EB / Streymur1.4

AB1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

EB / STREYMUR · PPG 0.70

AB · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

EB / Streymur (H) 40.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -7.3%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.8%

AB (A) 35.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

EB / Streymur face AB in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives EB / Streymur a 40% chance, the draw 25% and AB 35%, so EB / Streymur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for EB / Streymur and 1.3 for AB (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, EB / Streymur are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.78 for AB. This match finished 2-0.

EB / Streymur vs AB Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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