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NSI Runavik vs AB Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

NSI Runavik

PPG 2.80 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWDW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.7% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-13.1%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.1%1-17.6%1-23.2%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-19.4%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.2%3-17.7%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-18.5%4+-23.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.7% 80.0% 1.25 -16.6%

Draw 17.4% 19.2% 5.20 -5.7%

Away win 15.9% 10.5% 9.50 +30.6%

Over 2.5 64.2% 72.5% 1.38 -11.4%

Over 3.5 43.2% 51.8% 1.93 -16.6%

BTTS 55.0% 60.6% 1.65 -9.3%

Home O1.5 65.8% 80.0% 1.25 -17.8%

Away O1.5 23.6% 26.7% 3.75 -6.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.0%

H 67% / xG 2.5-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 3–0 9.2%

#4 1–1 7.6%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik2.5

AB0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 2.80

AB · PPG 0.70

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.80 vs 0.70 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 66.7%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -16.6%

Draw 17.4%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV -5.7%

AB (A) 15.9%

ODDS 9.50 · IMPLIED 10.5% EV +30.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face AB in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 67% chance, the draw 17% and AB 16%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for NSI Runavik and 0.8 for AB (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 2.80 points per game versus 0.70 for AB. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 3-1.

NSI Runavik vs AB Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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