Today / FaroeIslands - Premier League / HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur

HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.67 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

07 Vestur

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-13.7%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.3%1-18.4%1-23.1%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.7%2-19.4%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.5%3-17.1%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-16.7%4+-22.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.6% 74.1% 1.35 -12.8%

Draw 20.0% 23.1% 4.33 -8.0%

Away win 15.4% 14.3% 7.00 +4.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Over 3.5 36.6% 46.1% 2.17 -20.6%

BTTS 53.0% 59.9% 1.67 -11.5%

Home O1.5 65.1% 74.6% 1.34 -12.8%

Away O1.5 17.9% 26.0% 3.84 -18.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob53.0%

H 65% / xG 2.2-0.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.7%

#2 1–1 8.4%

#3 1–0 11.3%

#4 3–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn2.2

07 Vestur0.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.67

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.78

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.50 for Home, form 1.67 vs 0.78 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 64.6%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -12.8%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -8.0%

07 Vestur (A) 15.4%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +4.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face 07 Vestur in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 65% chance, the draw 20% and 07 Vestur 15%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for HB Torshavn and 0.7 for 07 Vestur (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.78 for 07 Vestur. This match finished 0-0.

HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More FaroeIslands - Premier League Predictions