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Vikingur Gota vs HB Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 21 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 17:30

Vikingur Gota

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLDL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.5%0-24.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.9%1-112.4%1-27.1%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.0%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.8%3-14.4%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% 46.5% 2.15 -10.8%

Draw 27.2% 29.4% 3.40 -4.5%

Away win 31.3% 33.3% 3.00 -6.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 56.5% 1.77 -10.6%

Over 3.5 28.7% 33.9% 2.95 -9.2%

BTTS 52.7% 62.5% 1.60 -15.7%

Home O1.5 40.1% 50.0% 2.00 -19.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.7%

H 42% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 10.9%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 0–0 7.5%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur Gota1.5

HB Torshavn1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR GOTA · PPG 1.80

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur Gota (H) 41.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -10.8%

Draw 27.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.5%

HB Torshavn (A) 31.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur Gota face HB Torshavn in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur Gota a 42% chance, the draw 27% and HB Torshavn 31%, so Vikingur Gota are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vikingur Gota and 1.1 for HB Torshavn (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur Gota are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.80 for HB Torshavn. This match finished 1-3.

Vikingur Gota vs HB Torshavn Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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