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B68 vs Skála Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:15

B68

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLLD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Skála

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.2%0-24.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.8%1-111.6%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.9%2-19.4%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.1%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% 40.0% 2.50 +17.3%

Draw 24.3% 29.4% 3.40 -10.4%

Away win 28.8% 43.5% 2.30 -20.3%

Over 2.5 59.6% 58.8% 1.70 +1.3%

Over 3.5 36.2% 39.1% 2.56 -7.3%

BTTS 59.8% 64.5% 1.55 -7.3%

Home O1.5 47.4% 46.3% 2.16 +2.4%

Away O1.5 36.2% 49.3% 2.03 -26.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.8%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B681.6

Skála1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

B68 · PPG 1.22

SKÁLA · PPG 0.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

B68 (H) 46.9%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +17.3%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -10.4%

Skála (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -20.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

B68 face Skála in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B68 a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Skála 29%, so B68 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for B68 and 1.2 for Skála (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B68 are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.33 for Skála. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +2.4%. This match finished 0-1.

B68 vs Skála Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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