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KI Klaksvik vs NSI Runavik Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00

KI Klaksvik

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDW

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

NSI Runavik

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.7%0-23.4%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.0%1-110.6%1-26.2%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.1%3-16.0%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.2%4+-22.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 59.5% 1.68 -18.0%

Draw 22.5% 26.7% 3.75 -9.4%

Away win 28.7% 23.8% 4.20 +12.3%

Over 2.5 62.6% 66.7% 1.50 -6.1%

Over 3.5 39.4% 44.4% 2.25 -11.3%

BTTS 61.3% 67.6% 1.48 -9.3%

Home O1.5 54.9% 65.4% 1.53 -16.0%

Away O1.5 35.6% 39.2% 2.55 -9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.3%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 1–2 6.2%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KI Klaksvik1.8

NSI Runavik1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KI KLAKSVIK · PPG 1.89

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.67 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KI Klaksvik (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -18.0%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.4%

NSI Runavik (A) 28.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

KI Klaksvik face NSI Runavik in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KI Klaksvik a 49% chance, the draw 23% and NSI Runavik 29%, so KI Klaksvik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for KI Klaksvik and 1.2 for NSI Runavik (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KI Klaksvik are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.33 for NSI Runavik. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 2-2.

KI Klaksvik vs NSI Runavik Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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