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B36 Torshavn vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 14:00

B36 Torshavn

PPG 1.89 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

B68

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 65.8% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-13.4%0-21.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-011.0%1-17.9%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.9%2-19.3%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.0%3-17.2%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-17.3%4+-22.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% 74.1% 1.35 -13.1%

Draw 20.3% 21.7% 4.60 -4.0%

Away win 15.3% 13.9% 7.20 +6.1%

Over 2.5 54.3% 63.7% 1.57 -14.8%

Over 3.5 36.2% 40.8% 2.45 -11.3%

BTTS 49.2% 56.5% 1.77 -12.9%

Home O1.5 65.8% 71.4% 1.40 -7.9%

Away O1.5 18.2% 25.0% 4.00 -16.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob49.2%

H 64% / xG 2.3-0.7 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.9%

#2 1–1✓ 7.9%

#3 3–0 10.0%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B36 Torshavn2.3

B680.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

B36 TORSHAVN · PPG 1.89

B68 · PPG 0.40

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 1.89 vs 0.40 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

B36 Torshavn (H) 64.4%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -13.1%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -4.0%

B68 (A) 15.3%

ODDS 7.20 · IMPLIED 13.9% EV +6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

B36 Torshavn face B68 in FaroeIslands - Premier League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B36 Torshavn a 64% chance, the draw 20% and B68 15%, so B36 Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for B36 Torshavn and 0.7 for B68 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B36 Torshavn are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 0.40 for B68. This match finished 1-1.

B36 Torshavn vs B68 Prediction— FaroeIslands - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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