Today / Croatia - Second NL / Solin vs Uljanik

Solin vs Uljanik Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:30

Solin

PPG 1.43 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Uljanik

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.9%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.5%1-111.2%1-27.4%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.2%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.8%3-15.0%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.0%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 44.4% 2.25 -1.7%

Draw 26.9% 28.6% 3.50 -3.5%

Away win 29.3% 38.2% 2.62 -13.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 59.9% 1.67 -10.7%

Over 3.5 31.5% 36.4% 2.75 -13.4%

BTTS 54.3% 65.4% 1.53 -16.9%

Home O1.5 48.9% 48.8% 2.05 +0.2%

Away O1.5 40.9% 44.4% 2.25 -8.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.3%

H 44% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Solin1.6

Uljanik1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SOLIN · PPG 1.43

ULJANIK · PPG 1.43

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Solin (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -1.7%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.5%

Uljanik (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -13.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Solin face Uljanik in Croatia - Second NL on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Solin a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Uljanik 29%, so Solin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Solin and 1.3 for Uljanik (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Solin are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 1.43 for Uljanik. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +1.0%. This match finished 1-3.

Solin vs Uljanik Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Croatia - Second NL Predictions