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Solin vs Dugo Selo Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:30

Solin

PPG 1.52 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Dugo Selo

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-16.7%0-22.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.9%1-111.3%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.6%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.2%3-15.5%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% 55.6% 1.80 -5.0%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 22.7% 27.8% 3.60 -11.0%

Over 2.5 52.4% 58.8% 1.70 -10.9%

Over 3.5 30.9% 37.7% 2.65 -18.1%

BTTS 53.0% 58.1% 1.72 -8.8%

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.0%

H 53% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.3%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 2–0 11.0%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Solin1.7

Dugo Selo0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SOLIN · PPG 1.52

DUGO SELO · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.82 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Solin (H) 52.8%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -5.0%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

Dugo Selo (A) 22.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Solin face Dugo Selo in Croatia - Second NL on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Solin a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Dugo Selo 23%, so Solin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Solin and 0.9 for Dugo Selo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Solin are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.13 for Dugo Selo. This match finished 1-1.

Solin vs Dugo Selo Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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