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Dugo Selo vs Uskok Klis Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Dugo Selo

PPG 1.17 · HOME

LAST 5

DW ···

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Uskok Klis

PPG 1.66 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-18.6%0-25.8%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.9%1-112.1%1-28.1%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.5%2-25.7%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.9%3-14.0%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 41.7% 2.40 -12.9%

Draw 27.7% 29.4% 3.40 -3.5%

Away win 36.0% 40.0% 2.50 -10.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 55.6% 1.80 -9.1%

Over 3.5 30.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.8%

BTTS 52.7% 62.5% 1.60 -15.7%

Home O1.5 40.1% 44.4% 2.25 -9.8%

Away O1.5 40.9% 43.5% 2.30 -5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 9 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.7%

H 36% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 0–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dugo Selo1.4

Uskok Klis1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DUGO SELO · PPG 1.17

USKOK KLIS · PPG 1.66

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dugo Selo (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -12.9%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.5%

Uskok Klis (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dugo Selo face Uskok Klis in Croatia - Second NL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dugo Selo a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Uskok Klis 36%, so Dugo Selo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dugo Selo and 1.4 for Uskok Klis (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dugo Selo are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.66 for Uskok Klis. This match finished 1-0.

Dugo Selo vs Uskok Klis Prediction— Croatia - Second NL

Match Preview & Prediction

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