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Wals-Grunau vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 26 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 17:00

Wals-Grunau

PPG 1.45 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Imst

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.9%0-24.7%0-33.7%0-4+3.8%1 1-02.9%1-16.8%1-28.1%1-36.4%1-4+6.6%2 2-02.5%2-15.9%2-27.0%2-35.5%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.4%3-13.4%3-24.0%3-33.2%3-4+3.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.5%4+-32.0%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 52.5% — — —

Over 2.5 77.6% — — —

Over 3.5 58.6% — — —

BTTS 74.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob74.5%

A 52% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 74%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.1%

#2 2–2 7.0%

#3 1–1 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.4%

#5 2–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wals-Grunau1.7

Imst2.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.6% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WALS-GRUNAU · PPG 1.45

IMST · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.45) vs Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Wals-Grunau (H) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Imst (A) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wals-Grunau face Imst in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wals-Grunau a 28% chance, the draw 20% and Imst 53%, so Imst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wals-Grunau and 2.4 for Imst (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wals-Grunau are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.83 for Imst. This match finished 1-5.

Wals-Grunau vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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