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Slovan Bratislava II vs Považská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:30

Slovan Bratislava II

PPG 1.41 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Považská Bystrica

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.9%0-23.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.8%1-19.7%1-26.0%1-32.5%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.2%3-16.5%3-24.0%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-15.1%4+-23.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.8% 44.4% 2.25 +18.8%

Draw 22.6% 28.6% 3.50 -12.5%

Away win 24.7% 37.0% 2.70 -20.0%

Over 2.5 62.8% 61.7% 1.62 +1.7%

Over 3.5 39.3% 40.0% 2.50 -1.8%

BTTS 60.8% 67.6% 1.48 -10.0%

Home O1.5 56.3% 52.6% 1.90 +7.0%

Away O1.5 36.6% 47.6% 2.10 -23.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.8%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–2 6.0%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Bratislava II2.0

Považská Bystrica1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN BRATISLAVA II · PPG 1.41

POVAŽSKÁ BYSTRICA · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Bratislava II (H) 52.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +18.8%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.5%

Považská Bystrica (A) 24.7%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -20.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Bratislava II face Považská Bystrica in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Bratislava II a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Považská Bystrica 25%, so Slovan Bratislava II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Slovan Bratislava II and 1.2 for Považská Bystrica (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Bratislava II are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.30 for Považská Bystrica. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +27.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Slovan Bratislava II vs Považská Bystrica Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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