Podbeskidzie vs Z. Sosnowiec Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 29 Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej Friday, April 24, 2026 16:00

Podbeskidzie PPG 1.69

2-0 HIT CS2

Z. Sosnowiec PPG 1.14

Home· +20.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbeskidzie face Z. Sosnowiec in Poland - II Liga - East on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbeskidzie a 69% chance, the draw 17% and Z. Sosnowiec 14%, so Podbeskidzie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Podbeskidzie and 1.1 for Z. Sosnowiec (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbeskidzie are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.14 for Z. Sosnowiec. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +20.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.0%

Odds: 1.75 EV: +20.8%

Draw 16.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -41.5%

Away 14.2%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -46.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 71.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 50.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 61.9% Odds: 1.65 +2.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✔

3rd 3-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Podbeskidzie

2.58

Z. Sosnowiec

1.11

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)