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San Martín Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Losers Stage · Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 23:30

San Martín Mendoza

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Fundacion Amigos

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-110.4%0-22.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.1%1-111.6%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.7%2-16.5%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-12.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 48.1% 2.08 -3.7%

Draw 32.1% 34.7% 2.88 -7.5%

Away win 21.7% 29.0% 3.45 -15.1%

Over 2.5 34.2% 40.0% 2.50 -14.5%

Over 3.5 17.8% 22.2% 4.50 -11.9%

BTTS 42.6% 47.6% 2.10 -10.5%

Home O1.5 31.0% 40.8% 2.45 -24.1%

Away O1.5 15.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 122 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 3.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob42.6%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.1%

#2 0–0 19.0%

#3 1–1 11.6%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–0 11.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Martín Mendoza1.1

Fundacion Amigos0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN MARTÍN MENDOZA · PPG 2.09

FUNDACION AMIGOS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

San Martín Mendoza (H) 46.3%

ODDS 2.08 · IMPLIED 48.1% EV -3.7%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -7.5%

Fundacion Amigos (A) 21.7%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Martín Mendoza face Fundacion Amigos in Argentina - Torneo Federal A on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Martín Mendoza a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Fundacion Amigos 22%, so San Martín Mendoza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for San Martín Mendoza and 0.6 for Fundacion Amigos (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Martín Mendoza are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.80 for Fundacion Amigos. This match finished 0-2.

San Martín Mendoza vs Fundacion Amigos Prediction— Argentina - Torneo Federal A

Match Preview & Prediction

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