Today / USA - MLS Next Pro / Connecticut FC vs New York RB II
Connecticut FC vs New York RB II Prediction— USA - MLS Next Pro
Group Stage ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 23:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 79 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%
Form & verdict
CONNECTICUT FC · PPG 1.58
NEW YORK RB II · PPG 1.50
xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Connecticut FC face New York RB II in USA - MLS Next Pro on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Connecticut FC a 50% chance, the draw 22% and New York RB II 28%, so Connecticut FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Connecticut FC and 1.6 for New York RB II (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Connecticut FC are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.50 for New York RB II. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +19.0%. This match finished 2-4.