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Táborsko vs Ústí nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 16:00

Táborsko

PPG 1.88 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Ústí nad Labem

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.9%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.9%1-111.5%1-26.1%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.6%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.1%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.3%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.2% 47.6% 2.10 +7.5%

Draw 24.2% 31.3% 3.20 -13.5%

Away win 24.6% 33.3% 3.00 -15.7%

Over 2.5 53.5% 54.1% 1.85 -1.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 33.3% 3.00 -5.5%

BTTS 54.5% 59.9% 1.67 -9.0%

Home O1.5 48.9% 47.6% 2.10 +2.7%

Away O1.5 32.6% 38.2% 2.62 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.5%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–0 9.1%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Táborsko1.7

Ústí nad Labem1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TÁBORSKO · PPG 1.88

ÚSTÍ NAD LABEM · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Táborsko (H) 51.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +7.5%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -13.5%

Ústí nad Labem (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -15.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Táborsko face Ústí nad Labem in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Táborsko a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Ústí nad Labem 25%, so Táborsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Táborsko and 1.1 for Ústí nad Labem (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Táborsko are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.50 for Ústí nad Labem. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +9.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Táborsko vs Ústí nad Labem Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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